Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,244$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(426 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,184.3}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.3)}}\) (asimptote \(2,184.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $100$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(13.7 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102.2}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(102.2\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $109$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $33,843$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(2.39 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,512.7}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 57.8)}}\) (asimptote \(36,512.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,029$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(384 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,071.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 42.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,071.6\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,843$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,364$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(2.13 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,052.4}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 31.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,052.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $235$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(52 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{228.8}{1 + 10^{-0.061 (t - 28.9)}}\) (asimptote \(228.8\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $402$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,599$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(783 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,718.3}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(6,718.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $308$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(39.5 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{309.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 34.7)}}\) (asimptote \(309.7\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,191$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,586$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(1.9 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,425.8}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 39.9)}}\) (asimptote \(11,425.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $563$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(109 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{554.7}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 31.7)}}\) (asimptote \(554.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $861$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,804$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(538 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.2}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.2\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(3.5 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $57,342$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(8.43 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{55,619.6}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 40.5)}}\) (asimptote \(55,619.6\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,312$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(1.31 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,020.0}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 36.9)}}\) (asimptote \(9,020.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,733$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $262,547$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(2.18 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{268,323.6}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 50.3)}}\) (asimptote \(268,323.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,996$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(4.13 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,137.9}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 41.3)}}\) (asimptote \(36,137.9\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $224,390$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $230,158$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(4.07 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{224,294.5}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 41.8)}}\) (asimptote \(224,294.5\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,877$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(4.99 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{31,855.7}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.6)}}\) (asimptote \(31,855.7\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $55,300$ on 2020-05-25
